| Titre : |
The Risk of Automation for Jobs in OECD Countries : A Comparative Analysis |
| Type de document : |
document électronique |
| Auteurs : |
Melanie Arntz, Auteur ; Ulrich Zierahn, Auteur ; Terry Gregory |
| Editeur : |
OECD |
| Année de publication : |
May 2016 |
| Collection : |
OECD Social, Employment and Migration Working Papers num. 189 |
| Importance : |
34 p |
| Langues : |
Anglais (eng) |
| Tags : |
Economie numérique Emploi |
| Résumé : |
In recent years, there has been a revival of concerns that automation and digitalisation might after all result in a jobless future. The debate has been fuelled by studies for the US and Europe arguing that a substantial share of jobs is at “risk of computerisation”. These studies follow an occupation-based approach proposed by Frey and Osborne (2013), i.e. they assume that whole occupations rather than single job-tasks are automated by technology. As we argue, this might lead to an overestimation of job automatibility, as occupations labelled as high-risk occupations often still contain a substantial share of tasks that are hard to automate. Our paper serves two purposes. Firstly, we estimate the job automatibility of jobs for 21 OECD countries based on a task-based approach. In contrast to other studies, we take into account the heterogeneity of workers’ tasks within occupations. Overall, we find that, on average across the 21 OECD countries, 9 % of jobs are automatable. The threat from technological advances thus seems much less pronounced compared to the occupation-based approach. We further find heterogeneities across OECD countries. For instance, while the share of automatable jobs is 6 % in Korea, the corresponding share is 12 % in Austria. Differences between countries may reflect general differences in workplace organisation, differences in previous investments into automation technologies as well as differences in the education of workers across countries. |
| En ligne : |
http://www.oecd-ilibrary.org/social-issues-migration-health/the-risk-of-automati [...] |
The Risk of Automation for Jobs in OECD Countries : A Comparative Analysis [document électronique] / Melanie Arntz, Auteur ; Ulrich Zierahn, Auteur ; Terry Gregory . - [S.l.] : OECD, May 2016 . - 34 p. - ( OECD Social, Employment and Migration Working Papers; 189) . Langues : Anglais ( eng)
| Tags : |
Economie numérique Emploi |
| Résumé : |
In recent years, there has been a revival of concerns that automation and digitalisation might after all result in a jobless future. The debate has been fuelled by studies for the US and Europe arguing that a substantial share of jobs is at “risk of computerisation”. These studies follow an occupation-based approach proposed by Frey and Osborne (2013), i.e. they assume that whole occupations rather than single job-tasks are automated by technology. As we argue, this might lead to an overestimation of job automatibility, as occupations labelled as high-risk occupations often still contain a substantial share of tasks that are hard to automate. Our paper serves two purposes. Firstly, we estimate the job automatibility of jobs for 21 OECD countries based on a task-based approach. In contrast to other studies, we take into account the heterogeneity of workers’ tasks within occupations. Overall, we find that, on average across the 21 OECD countries, 9 % of jobs are automatable. The threat from technological advances thus seems much less pronounced compared to the occupation-based approach. We further find heterogeneities across OECD countries. For instance, while the share of automatable jobs is 6 % in Korea, the corresponding share is 12 % in Austria. Differences between countries may reflect general differences in workplace organisation, differences in previous investments into automation technologies as well as differences in the education of workers across countries. |
| En ligne : |
http://www.oecd-ilibrary.org/social-issues-migration-health/the-risk-of-automati [...] |
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